NASA Forecasts Violent Solar Storm Season
June 17, 2008
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In March 2007, scientists at the National Science Foundation and NASA reached a consensus opinion that the next sunspot cycle will be “thirty to fifty percent stronger” that the last one.
The sun goes through approximately 11-year cycles, from peak storm activity to quiet, and back again. Solar scientists have tracked these cycles without being able to predict their relative intensity or timing. Until now, according to NASA.
By analyzing recent solar cycles, the scientists also hope to forecast sunspot activity two solar cycles, or 22 years, into the future. The team is planning in the next year to issue a forecast of Cycle 25, which will peak in the early 2020s.
Solar storms are linked to twisted magnetic fields that suddenly snap and release tremendous amounts of energy. They tend to occur near dark regions of concentrated magnetic fields, known as sunspots.
Scientists have attributed observed climate changes to a combination of natural variations and human activities. Computer models of global climate reproduced an observed global warming during the first half of the 20th century when two solar influences were combined.
But in the mid-1990’s, it was decided that the relationship between sunspots and global warming was non-existent. The 2004 issue of Science Daily explained:
“[The] more pronounced warming observed during the century’s last decades is attributed to greenhouse gases accumulating in Earth’s atmosphere and is not part of the study.”
(See? Just because it looks like a duck and walks like a duck and quacks like a duck doesn’t necessarily mean its a duck. Maybe its an aardvark. All you need to do is redefine what constitutes a ‘duck.’)
The last maximum solar cycle, called “Cycle 23″ began in 1986, about the same time Al Gore was drafting his book, “Earth in the Balance” that earned Gore the nickname given him by Bush 41 during the 1992 general election: the “Ozone Ranger” .
In 1997, during what was forecast to be a minimum solar cycle, for reasons not yet explained, sunspot activity increased, rather than decreased.
(See “Sunspot Activity Threatens New Disruptions” OL Vol 48 Issue 12 )
According to NASA, the warmest years on record were 1998, 2002 - 2004 and 2007.
In 2008, the sun quieted, and ‘coincidentally’ the planet began to cool. Last April, in coordination with an international panel of solar experts, NOAA issued a forecast that Solar Cycle 24 would start in March 2008, plus or minus six months.
The panel was then evenly split between those predicting a strong or weak cycle. Interestingly, both sides claimed to champion the ‘consensus’ opinion.
Both camps have since come to agree that the sooner the new cycle takes over the waning previous cycle, the more likely that it will be a strong season with many sunspots and major storms.
Dr. Oleg Sorokhtin, Merited Scientist of Russia and fellow of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences and staff researcher of the Oceanology Institute warned that global temperatures would begin to cool as a result.
“Astrophysics knows two solar activity cycles, of 11 and 200 years. Both are caused by changes in the radius and area of the irradiating solar surface. The latest data, obtained by Habibullah Abdusamatov, head of the Pulkovo Observatory space research laboratory, say that Earth has passed the peak of its warmer period, and a fairly cold spell will set in quite soon, by 2012.
Real cold will come when solar activity reaches its minimum, by 2041, and will last for 50-60 years or even longer.
“Physical and mathematical calculations predict a new Ice Age. It will come in 100,000 years, at the earliest, and will be much worse than the previous. Europe will be ice-bound, with glaciers reaching south of Moscow.”
I don’t know if Sorokhtin’s forecast is right or not. He is using the same data as the global warming evangelists, with one notable exception — the cause.
Al Gore says it is human activity, despite the science that says 95% of greenhouse gases come from the oceans, volcanic activity and rotting vegetation.
Mankind is responsible for a small percentage (14-18%) of the remaining FIVE PERCENT of the total. Dr. Sorokhtin blames the sun for global warming.
(The sun warms the earth and not the light of man? Who knew?)
When it comes to a genuine ‘consensus opinion’ the only REAL consensus is that both sides agree the other side is 100% wrong.
The Ozone Ranger Consensus has more holes in it than a block of Swiss cheese, but curbing man-made carbon emissions is Big Business worth billions of dollars.
But there is NOTHING mankind can do about the sun and therefore no profit motive. So the Ozone Rangers totally ignore the correlation between solar activity and the rise and fall of global temperatures.
So, where I am going here? Let’s summarize and see if we can detect a familiar theme.
There is something approaching global panic over climate change. Depending on who you ask, we are facing climactic catastrophe from either global warming or global cooling — but all agree on the ‘climactic catastrophe’ part.
The Ozone Rangers are forecasting rising seas, coastal flooding, and catastrophic warming. Dr. Sorohkin and his supporters are forecasting encroaching glaciers and catastrophic global cooling.
The Ozone Rangers are united in their contention that the cause is greenhouse gases. Astrophysicists are equally convinced that the cause is unusually strong solar activity.
The two sides share but two points in common — fear of catastrophic changes to the climate and confusion about the cause.
Let’s compare it with what Jesus Christ said would be one of the signs of His impending return:
“And there shall be signs in the sun, (solar flares) and in the moon, and in the stars; and upon the earth distress [fear] of nations, with perplexity; [confusion] the sea and the waves roaring [catastrophic climate change];
Men’s hearts failing them for fear, and for looking after those things which are coming upon the earth, for the powers of heaven shall be shaken.” (Luke 21:24-25)
The summary offered by Jesus Christ 2000 years ago is identical to the summary explanation(s) for climate change and its effect on both the planet and its inhabitants.
But Jesus takes it further, explaining both the hows AND the whys behind the perception of catastrophic climate change.
“And then shall they see the Son of man coming in a cloud with power and great glory,” He said. But before that event takes place, the Lord gave this warning to His Church.
“And when these things begin to come to pass then look up, and lift up your heads, for your redemption draweth nigh.” (Luke 21:26-27)
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